The model estimates 1.35 goals for Utrecht and 1.88 for Heerenveen. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Utrecht and 6 for Heerenveen, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Heerenveen · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Utrecht is going head to head with Heerenveen on December 20, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 17.
Utrecht take on Heerenveen in the Eredivisie on 20 December 2026 at 19:00.
Utrecht are currently placed 14th in the table with 8 points, while Heerenveen occupy 7th position with 15 points.
Utrecht come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Heerenveen have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 76 recorded meetings, Utrecht have 31 wins against Heerenveen, with 21 draws.
Prediction: Heerenveen to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.23. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 64%.




Utrecht have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Utrecht's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Utrecht's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Heerenveen have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Heerenveen's last 6 matches.
Heerenveen have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.