The model estimates 1.13 goals for US Arezzo and 1.49 for Padova. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for US Arezzo and 6 for Padova, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Padova · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
US Arezzo is going head to head with Padova on November 21, 2026 at 17:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 12.
US Arezzo take on Padova in the Serie B on 21 November 2026 at 17:00.
US Arezzo are currently placed 15th in the table with 10 points, while Padova occupy 8th position with 13 points.
US Arezzo come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Padova have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 8 recorded meetings, Padova have 5 wins against US Arezzo, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Padova to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.62. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 54%.




US Arezzo have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of US Arezzo's last 6 matches.
US Arezzo concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Padova's last 6 matches.
Padova have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Padova have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.