The model estimates 2.51 goals for Modena and 1.01 for US Arezzo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Modena and 6 for US Arezzo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Modena · 64%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Modena is going head to head with US Arezzo on December 05, 2026 at 17:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 15.
Modena take on US Arezzo in the Serie B on 5 December 2026 at 17:00.
Modena are currently placed 3rd in the table with 17 points, while US Arezzo occupy 13th position with 10 points.
Modena come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas US Arezzo have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Modena to win with probability 63%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.52. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 59%.




In their last 6 matches, Modena have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Modena's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Modena's last 6 matches.
US Arezzo have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of US Arezzo's last 6 matches.
US Arezzo have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.