The model estimates 1.34 goals for Padova and 0.78 for Sampdoria. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Padova and 6 for Sampdoria, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Padova · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Padova is going head to head with Sampdoria on November 24, 2026 at 17:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 13.
Padova take on Sampdoria in the Serie B on 24 November 2026 at 17:00.
Padova are currently placed 8th in the table with 13 points, while Sampdoria occupy 19th position with 5 points.
Padova come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sampdoria have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 30 recorded meetings, Sampdoria have 14 wins against Padova, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Padova to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.12. Over 2.5: 36%. BTTS: 42%.
PADSAMPADSAMPADSAMPADSAMPADSAMPADSAMPADSAMPADSAMPADSAMThere have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Padova's last 6 matches.
Padova have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Padova have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Sampdoria have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Sampdoria have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Sampdoria's last 6 matches.
