The model estimates 2.48 goals for Ural and 0.82 for Arsenal Tula. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ural and 6 for Arsenal Tula, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ural · 64%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ural is going head to head with Arsenal Tula on November 25, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Russia 1 Division — Round 19.
Ural take on Arsenal Tula in the Russia 1 Division on 25 November 2026 at 19:00.
Ural are currently placed 4th in the table with 28 points, while Arsenal Tula occupy 10th position with 19 points.
Ural come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Arsenal Tula have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 22 recorded meetings, Ural have 9 wins against Arsenal Tula, with 9 draws.
Prediction: Ural to win with probability 65%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.30. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 52%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Ural's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ural have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Ural's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Arsenal Tula's last 6 matches.
Arsenal Tula have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Arsenal Tula's last 6 matches.