The model estimates 1.17 goals for Arsenal Tula and 1.98 for Sochi. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arsenal Tula and 6 for Sochi, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sochi · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arsenal Tula is going head to head with Sochi on November 28, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Russia 1 Division — Round 20.
Arsenal Tula take on Sochi in the Russia 1 Division on 28 November 2026 at 19:00.
Arsenal Tula are currently placed 10th in the table with 19 points, while Sochi occupy 2nd position with 32 points.
Arsenal Tula come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sochi have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 9 recorded meetings, Sochi have 5 wins against Arsenal Tula, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Sochi to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.16. Over 2.5: 61%. BTTS: 61%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Arsenal Tula's last 6 matches.
Arsenal Tula have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Arsenal Tula's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sochi have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Sochi have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sochi's last 6 matches.