The model estimates 1.08 goals for Arsenal Tula and 1.28 for Ufa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arsenal Tula and 6 for Ufa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ufa · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arsenal Tula is going head to head with Ufa on December 05, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Russia 1 Division — Round 21.
Arsenal Tula take on Ufa in the Russia 1 Division on 5 December 2026 at 19:00.
Arsenal Tula are currently placed 10th in the table with 19 points, while Ufa occupy 8th position with 21 points.
Arsenal Tula come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ufa have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 23 recorded meetings, Arsenal Tula have 10 wins against Ufa, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Ufa to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.35. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 49%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Arsenal Tula's last 6 matches.
Arsenal Tula have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Arsenal Tula's last 6 matches.
Ufa have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Ufa's last 6 matches.
Ufa concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 away matches.