The model estimates 1.32 goals for UP Plasencia and 1.43 for Jaraíz. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for UP Plasencia and 6 for Jaraíz, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: UP Plasencia · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
UP Plasencia is going head to head with Jaraíz on December 20, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 14 — Round 16.
UP Plasencia take on Jaraíz in the Spain Tercera Division Group 14 on 20 December 2026 at 20:00.
UP Plasencia are currently placed 16th in the table with 7 points, while Jaraíz occupy 10th position with 12 points.
UP Plasencia come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Jaraíz have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: UP Plasencia to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.75. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 57%.




UP Plasencia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, UP Plasencia have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of UP Plasencia's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Jaraíz have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Jaraíz have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Jaraíz's last 6 matches.