The model estimates 1.49 goals for Moralo and 0.76 for Jaraíz. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Moralo and 6 for Jaraíz, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Moralo · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Moralo is going head to head with Jaraíz on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 14 — Round 19.
Moralo take on Jaraíz in the Spain Tercera Division Group 14 on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Moralo are currently placed 2nd in the table with 21 points, while Jaraíz occupy 10th position with 12 points.
Moralo come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Jaraíz have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 7 recorded meetings, Jaraíz have 5 wins against Moralo.
Prediction: Moralo to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.25. Over 2.5: 39%. BTTS: 43%.


In their last 6 matches, Moralo have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Moralo's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Moralo's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Jaraíz have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Jaraíz have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Jaraíz's last 6 matches.