The model estimates 1.30 goals for Union Berlin and 1.13 for Paderborn. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Union Berlin and 6 for Paderborn, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Union Berlin · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Union Berlin is going head to head with Paderborn on January 13, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 16.
Union Berlin take on Paderborn in the Bundesliga on 13 January 2027 at 00:00.
Union Berlin are currently placed 17th in the table with 6 points, while Paderborn occupy 14th position with 8 points.
Union Berlin come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Paderborn have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 21 recorded meetings, Paderborn have 10 wins against Union Berlin, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Union Berlin to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.43. Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 51%.
UNIPADUNIPADUNIPADUNIPADUNIPADUNIPADUNIPADUNIPADUNIPADUnion Berlin have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Union Berlin have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Union Berlin concede an average of 2.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Paderborn have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Paderborn have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.
Paderborn have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 away matches.
