The model estimates 1.78 goals for Union Berlin and 1.75 for Hoffenheim. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Union Berlin and 6 for Hoffenheim, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Union Berlin · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Union Berlin is going head to head with Hoffenheim on December 19, 2026 at 17:30. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 14.
Union Berlin take on Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga on 19 December 2026 at 17:30.
Union Berlin are currently placed 17th in the table with 6 points, while Hoffenheim occupy 10th position with 9 points.
Union Berlin come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Hoffenheim have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 14 recorded meetings, Union Berlin have 6 wins against Hoffenheim, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Union Berlin to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.53. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 70%.




Union Berlin have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Union Berlin have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Union Berlin concede an average of 2.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Hoffenheim's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Hoffenheim's last 6 matches.
Hoffenheim score an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.