The model estimates 2.04 goals for Hoffenheim and 2.32 for RB Leipzig. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hoffenheim and 6 for RB Leipzig, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: RB Leipzig · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hoffenheim is going head to head with RB Leipzig on January 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 17.
Hoffenheim take on RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on 16 January 2027 at 00:00.
Hoffenheim are currently placed 10th in the table with 9 points, while RB Leipzig occupy 5th position with 12 points.
Hoffenheim come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas RB Leipzig have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 22 recorded meetings, RB Leipzig have 13 wins against Hoffenheim, with 4 draws.
Prediction: RB Leipzig to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.37. Over 2.5: 81%. BTTS: 79%.
HOFRB HOFRB HOFRB HOFRB HOFRB HOFRB HOFRB HOFRB HOFRB There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Hoffenheim's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Hoffenheim's last 6 matches.
Hoffenheim score an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of RB Leipzig's last 6 matches.
RB Leipzig have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
RB Leipzig have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
