The model estimates 0.82 goals for Ufa and 1.03 for Ural. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ufa and 6 for Ural, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ural · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ufa is going head to head with Ural on November 21, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Russia 1 Division — Round 18.
Ufa take on Ural in the Russia 1 Division on 21 November 2026 at 19:00.
Ufa are currently placed 8th in the table with 21 points, while Ural occupy 4th position with 28 points.
Ufa come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ural have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 25 recorded meetings, Ural have 15 wins against Ufa, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Ufa and Ural to draw with probability 33%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.85. Over 2.5: 28%. BTTS: 38%.




Ufa have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Ufa's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Ufa have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Ural's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ural have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Ural's last 6 matches.