The model estimates 1.59 goals for UD Aretxabaleta and 1.02 for Erandio. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for UD Aretxabaleta and 6 for Erandio, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: UD Aretxabaleta · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
UD Aretxabaleta is going head to head with Erandio on April 11, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 30.
UD Aretxabaleta take on Erandio in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 11 April 2027 at 00:00.
UD Aretxabaleta are currently placed 7th in the table with 17 points, while Erandio occupy 17th position with 6 points.
UD Aretxabaleta come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Erandio have 0 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: UD Aretxabaleta to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.61. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 52%.


In their last 6 matches, UD Aretxabaleta have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
UD Aretxabaleta have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of UD Aretxabaleta's last 6 matches.
Erandio have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Erandio have lost 6 of their last 6 matches.
Erandio concede an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.