The model estimates 0.86 goals for Erandio and 1.75 for Leioa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Erandio and 6 for Leioa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Leioa · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Erandio is going head to head with Leioa on November 01, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 9.
Erandio take on Leioa in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 1 November 2026 at 20:00.
Erandio are currently placed 16th in the table with 6 points, while Leioa occupy 1st position with 16 points.
Erandio come into this match with 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Leioa have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Leioa to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.61. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 49%.
Erandio have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Erandio have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Erandio's last 6 matches.
Leioa are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Leioa have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Leioa's last 6 matches.