The model estimates 2.53 goals for Ajax and 1.10 for Utrecht. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ajax and 6 for Utrecht, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ajax · 61%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ajax is going head to head with Utrecht on December 06, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 15.
Ajax take on Utrecht in the Eredivisie on 6 December 2026 at 19:00.
Ajax are currently placed 3rd in the table with 21 points, while Utrecht occupy 14th position with 8 points.
Ajax come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Utrecht have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 118 recorded meetings, Ajax have 70 wins against Utrecht, with 22 draws.
Prediction: Ajax to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.63. Over 2.5: 70%. BTTS: 62%.




Ajax are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ajax have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Ajax's last 6 matches.
Utrecht have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Utrecht's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Utrecht's last 6 matches.