The model estimates 0.62 goals for Trofense and 1.72 for Paredes. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Trofense and 6 for Paredes, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Paredes · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Trofense is going head to head with Paredes on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 16.
Trofense take on Paredes in the Liga 3 on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Trofense are currently placed 19th in the table with 5 points, while Paredes occupy 2nd position with 16 points.
Trofense come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Paredes have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 8 recorded meetings, Paredes have 3 wins against Trofense, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Paredes to win with probability 56%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.34. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 39%.


Trofense have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Trofense have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Trofense concede an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Paredes have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Paredes have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Paredes have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.