The model estimates 1.13 goals for Paredes and 0.67 for AD Marco 09. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Paredes and 6 for AD Marco 09, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Paredes · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Paredes is going head to head with AD Marco 09 on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 18.
Paredes take on AD Marco 09 in the Liga 3 on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Paredes are currently placed 2nd in the table with 16 points, while AD Marco 09 occupy 4th position with 11 points.
Paredes come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AD Marco 09 have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 8 recorded meetings, Paredes have 3 wins against AD Marco 09, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Paredes to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.81. Over 2.5: 27%. BTTS: 35%.


In their last 6 matches, Paredes have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Paredes have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Paredes have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of AD Marco 09's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AD Marco 09 have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
AD Marco 09 have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.