The model estimates 0.73 goals for Trofense and 1.18 for Pacos Ferreira. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Trofense and 6 for Pacos Ferreira, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Pacos Ferreira · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Trofense is going head to head with Pacos Ferreira on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 18.
Trofense take on Pacos Ferreira in the Liga 3 on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Trofense are currently placed 19th in the table with 5 points, while Pacos Ferreira occupy 16th position with 8 points.
Trofense come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Pacos Ferreira have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Pacos Ferreira to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 1.92. Over 2.5: 30%. BTTS: 38%.




Trofense have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Trofense have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Trofense concede an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Pacos Ferreira have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Pacos Ferreira have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Pacos Ferreira's last 6 matches.