The model estimates 1.90 goals for Thun and 1.91 for Basel. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Thun and 6 for Basel, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Thun · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Thun is going head to head with Basel on November 07, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Swiss Super League — Round 13.
Thun take on Basel in the Swiss Super League on 7 November 2026 at 19:00.
Thun are currently placed 9th in the table with 10 points, while Basel occupy 6th position with 14 points.
Thun come into this match with 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Basel have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Basel have 1 win against Thun.
Prediction: Thun to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.81. Over 2.5: 73%. BTTS: 73%.




Thun have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Thun have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Thun concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Basel have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Basel's last 6 matches.
Basel have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.