The model estimates 1.85 goals for Basel and 1.69 for Luzern. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Basel and 6 for Luzern, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Basel · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Basel is going head to head with Luzern on November 21, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Swiss Super League — Round 14.
Basel take on Luzern in the Swiss Super League on 21 November 2026 at 19:00.
Basel are currently placed 6th in the table with 14 points, while Luzern occupy 8th position with 12 points.
Basel come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Luzern have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Basel have 1 win against Luzern.
Prediction: Basel to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.54. Over 2.5: 69%. BTTS: 70%.
BASLUZBASLUZBASLUZBASLUZBASLUZBASLUZBASLUZBASLUZBASLUZBasel have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Basel's last 6 matches.
Basel have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Luzern's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Luzern's last 6 matches.
Luzern have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
