The model estimates 1.96 goals for Gainsborough and 1.08 for Lancaster. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Gainsborough and 6 for Lancaster, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Gainsborough · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Gainsborough is going head to head with Lancaster on November 14, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England Northern Premier — Round 19.
Gainsborough take on Lancaster in the England Northern Premier on 14 November 2026 at 15:00.
Gainsborough are currently placed 4th in the table with 28 points, while Lancaster occupy 12th position with 20 points.
Gainsborough come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lancaster have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 22 recorded meetings, Gainsborough have 13 wins against Lancaster, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Gainsborough to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.05. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 58%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Gainsborough's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Gainsborough have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Gainsborough have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
Lancaster have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lancaster's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Lancaster's last 6 matches.