The model estimates 1.56 goals for Staphorst and 1.60 for Sportlust. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Staphorst and 6 for Sportlust, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Staphorst · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Staphorst is going head to head with Sportlust on November 14, 2026 at 16:30. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 13.
Staphorst take on Sportlust in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 14 November 2026 at 16:30.
Staphorst are currently placed 29th in the table with 9 points, while Sportlust occupy 12th position with 19 points.
Staphorst come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sportlust have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Sportlust have 4 wins against Staphorst, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Staphorst to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.16. Over 2.5: 61%. BTTS: 64%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Staphorst's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Staphorst's last 6 matches.
Staphorst have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sportlust have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Sportlust's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Sportlust's last 6 away matches.