The model estimates 2.03 goals for ACV Assen and 1.04 for Sportlust. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for ACV Assen and 6 for Sportlust, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: ACV Assen · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
ACV Assen is going head to head with Sportlust on December 05, 2026 at 16:30. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 16.
ACV Assen take on Sportlust in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 5 December 2026 at 16:30.
ACV Assen are currently placed 5th in the table with 24 points, while Sportlust occupy 12th position with 19 points.
ACV Assen come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sportlust have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, ACV Assen have 1 win against Sportlust, with 2 draws.
Prediction: ACV Assen to win with probability 56%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.07. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 57%.




In their last 6 matches, ACV Assen have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of ACV Assen's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of ACV Assen's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sportlust have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Sportlust's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Sportlust's last 6 away matches.