The model estimates 1.73 goals for Staphorst and 1.95 for ADO 20 Heemskerk. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Staphorst and 6 for ADO 20 Heemskerk, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: ADO 20 Heemskerk · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Staphorst is going head to head with ADO 20 Heemskerk on January 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 20.
Staphorst take on ADO 20 Heemskerk in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 23 January 2027 at 00:00.
Staphorst are currently placed 29th in the table with 9 points, while ADO 20 Heemskerk occupy 18th position with 14 points.
Staphorst come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas ADO 20 Heemskerk have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Staphorst have 1 win against ADO 20 Heemskerk, with 1 draw.
Prediction: ADO 20 Heemskerk to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.68. Over 2.5: 71%. BTTS: 72%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Staphorst's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Staphorst's last 6 matches.
Staphorst have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of ADO 20 Heemskerk's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of ADO 20 Heemskerk's last 6 matches.
ADO 20 Heemskerk have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.