The model estimates 1.22 goals for St Pauli and 1.21 for Hertha Berlin. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for St Pauli and 6 for Hertha Berlin, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: St Pauli · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
St Pauli is going head to head with Hertha Berlin on December 19, 2026 at 15:30. This match is part of 2. Bundesliga — Round 16.
St Pauli take on Hertha Berlin in the 2. Bundesliga on 19 December 2026 at 15:30.
St Pauli are currently placed 7th in the table with 12 points, while Hertha Berlin occupy 1st position with 25 points.
St Pauli come into this match with 2 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Hertha Berlin have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: St Pauli to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.43. Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 51%.




St Pauli are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, St Pauli have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of St Pauli's last 6 matches.
Hertha Berlin are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Hertha Berlin have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Hertha Berlin have won 5 of their last 6 matches.