The model estimates 1.14 goals for St Mirren and 2.16 for Hearts. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for St Mirren and 6 for Hearts, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hearts · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
St Mirren is going head to head with Hearts on December 05, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Scottish Premiership — Round 17.
St Mirren take on Hearts in the Scottish Premiership on 5 December 2026 at 18:00.
St Mirren are currently placed 8th in the table with 14 points, while Hearts occupy 4th position with 20 points.
St Mirren come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Hearts have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 20 recorded meetings, Hearts have 10 wins against St Mirren, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Hearts to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.30. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 61%.




St Mirren have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
St Mirren have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
St Mirren have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Hearts have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Hearts have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Hearts's last 6 matches.