The model estimates 1.68 goals for Pafos and 1.73 for Hearts. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Pafos and 6 for Hearts, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Pafos · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Pafos is going head to head with Hearts on December 17, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of UEFA Europa Conference League — Round 6.
Pafos take on Hearts in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 17 December 2026 at 20:00.
Pafos are currently placed 27th in the table with 1 points, while Hearts occupy 28th position with 1 points.
Pafos come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Hearts have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Pafos to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.40. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 68%.




Pafos have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Pafos's last 6 matches.
Pafos concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Hearts have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Hearts have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Hearts score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.