The model estimates 1.44 goals for St Johnstone and 1.13 for Aberdeen. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for St Johnstone and 6 for Aberdeen, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: St Johnstone · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
St Johnstone is going head to head with Aberdeen on December 26, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Scottish Premiership — Round 20.
St Johnstone take on Aberdeen in the Scottish Premiership on 26 December 2026 at 18:00.
St Johnstone are currently placed 8th in the table with 12 points, while Aberdeen occupy 9th position with 11 points.
St Johnstone come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Aberdeen have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 81 recorded meetings, Aberdeen have 32 wins against St Johnstone, with 25 draws.
Prediction: St Johnstone to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.57. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 53%.




In their last 6 matches, St Johnstone have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
St Johnstone have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of St Johnstone's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Aberdeen have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Aberdeen have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Aberdeen score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.