The model estimates 1.14 goals for St Mirren and 1.24 for Aberdeen. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for St Mirren and 6 for Aberdeen, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Aberdeen · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
St Mirren is going head to head with Aberdeen on January 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Scottish Premiership — Round 22.
St Mirren take on Aberdeen in the Scottish Premiership on 2 January 2027 at 00:00.
St Mirren are currently placed 7th in the table with 14 points, while Aberdeen occupy 9th position with 11 points.
St Mirren come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Aberdeen have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 73 recorded meetings, Aberdeen have 32 wins against St Mirren, with 21 draws.
Prediction: St Mirren to win with probability 36%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.38. Over 2.5: 43%. BTTS: 50%.




St Mirren have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of St Mirren's last 6 matches.
St Mirren have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Aberdeen have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Aberdeen score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Aberdeen have lost 4 of their last 6 away matches.