The model estimates 1.39 goals for St Johnstone and 1.83 for Hearts. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for St Johnstone and 6 for Hearts, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hearts · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
St Johnstone is going head to head with Hearts on December 30, 2026 at 22:45. This match is part of Scottish Premiership — Round 21.
St Johnstone take on Hearts in the Scottish Premiership on 30 December 2026 at 22:45.
St Johnstone are currently placed 8th in the table with 12 points, while Hearts occupy 3rd position with 19 points.
St Johnstone come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Hearts have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 72 recorded meetings, Hearts have 32 wins against St Johnstone, with 20 draws.
Prediction: Hearts to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.22. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 64%.




In their last 6 matches, St Johnstone have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
St Johnstone have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of St Johnstone's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Hearts have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Hearts have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Hearts's last 6 matches.