The model estimates 2.37 goals for Sporting CP and 0.76 for Casa Pia AC. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sporting CP and 6 for Casa Pia AC, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sporting CP · 72%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sporting CP is going head to head with Casa Pia AC on March 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 27.
Sporting CP take on Casa Pia AC in the Primeira Liga on 21 March 2027 at 00:00.
Sporting CP are currently placed 3rd in the table with 18 points, while Casa Pia AC occupy 16th position with 7 points.
Sporting CP come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Casa Pia AC have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 11 recorded meetings, Sporting CP have 11 wins against Casa Pia AC.
Prediction: Sporting CP to win with probability 64%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.13. Over 2.5: 61%. BTTS: 49%.




In their last 6 matches, Sporting CP have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Sporting CP's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Sporting CP's last 6 matches.
Casa Pia AC have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Casa Pia AC's last 6 matches.
Casa Pia AC concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 away matches.