The model estimates 0.79 goals for Casa Pia AC and 1.49 for Alverca. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Saved model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Casa Pia AC and 6 for Alverca, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alverca · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Casa Pia AC is going head to head with Alverca on April 04, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 28.
Casa Pia AC take on Alverca in the Primeira Liga on 4 April 2027 at 00:00.
Casa Pia AC are currently placed 16th in the table with 7 points, while Alverca occupy 7th position with 11 points.
Casa Pia AC come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alverca have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Alverca have 2 wins against Casa Pia AC.
Prediction: Alverca to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.28. Over 2.5: 40%. BTTS: 44%.




Casa Pia AC have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Casa Pia AC's last 6 matches.
Casa Pia AC have lost 4 of their last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alverca have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Alverca's last 6 matches.
Alverca score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.