The model estimates 1.86 goals for Spezia and 0.69 for Perugia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Spezia and 6 for Perugia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Spezia · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Spezia is going head to head with Perugia on January 31, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 24.
Spezia take on Perugia in the Italy Serie C on 31 January 2027 at 00:00.
Spezia are currently placed 1st in the table with 29 points, while Perugia occupy 39th position with 13 points.
Spezia come into this match with 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Perugia have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Spezia have 1 win against Perugia.
Prediction: Spezia to win with probability 58%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.55. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 43%.




Spezia are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Spezia have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Spezia have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
Perugia score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Perugia's last 6 away matches.
Perugia have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.