The model estimates 1.33 goals for Spezia and 0.70 for Reggiana. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Spezia and 6 for Reggiana, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Spezia · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Spezia is going head to head with Reggiana on February 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 27.
Spezia take on Reggiana in the Italy Serie C on 14 February 2027 at 00:00.
Spezia are currently placed 1st in the table with 29 points, while Reggiana occupy 18th position with 17 points.
Spezia come into this match with 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Reggiana have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 18 recorded meetings, Spezia have 6 wins against Reggiana, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Spezia to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.03. Over 2.5: 33%. BTTS: 38%.




Spezia are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Spezia have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Spezia have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Reggiana's last 6 matches.
Reggiana have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Reggiana's last 6 away matches.