The model estimates 1.53 goals for Perugia and 1.99 for Grosseto. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Perugia and 6 for Grosseto, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Grosseto · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Perugia is going head to head with Grosseto on February 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 25.
Perugia take on Grosseto in the Italy Serie C on 7 February 2027 at 00:00.
Perugia are currently placed 39th in the table with 13 points, while Grosseto occupy 6th position with 22 points.
Perugia come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Grosseto have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Grosseto have 1 win against Perugia.
Prediction: Grosseto to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.52. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 69%.




Perugia score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Perugia have won only 2 of their last 6 home matches.
Perugia have lost 4 of their last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Grosseto have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Grosseto have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Grosseto's last 6 matches.