The model estimates 1.71 goals for Spezia and 0.56 for Guidonia Montecelio 1937. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Spezia and 6 for Guidonia Montecelio 1937, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Spezia · 58%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Spezia is going head to head with Guidonia Montecelio 1937 on December 13, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 18.
Spezia take on Guidonia Montecelio 1937 in the Italy Serie C on 13 December 2026 at 20:00.
Spezia are currently placed 1st in the table with 29 points, while Guidonia Montecelio 1937 occupy 23rd position with 16 points.
Spezia come into this match with 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Spezia to win with probability 58%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.27. Over 2.5: 40%. BTTS: 37%.




Spezia are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Spezia have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Spezia have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Guidonia Montecelio 1937's last 6 matches.