The model estimates 0.55 goals for Pianese and 1.26 for Spezia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Pianese and 6 for Spezia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Spezia · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Pianese is going head to head with Spezia on December 20, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 19.
Pianese take on Spezia in the Italy Serie C on 20 December 2026 at 20:00.
Pianese are currently placed 45th in the table with 13 points, while Spezia occupy 1st position with 35 points.
Pianese come into this match with 2 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Spezia have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Spezia to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 1.81. Over 2.5: 27%. BTTS: 32%.




Pianese are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Pianese have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Pianese have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Spezia are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Spezia have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Spezia have won 5 of their last 6 matches.