The model estimates 1.53 goals for Spalding United and 1.37 for Buxton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Spalding United and 6 for Buxton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Spalding United · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Spalding United is going head to head with Buxton on December 05, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England National League North — Round 20.
Spalding United take on Buxton in the England National League North on 5 December 2026 at 15:00.
Spalding United are currently placed 14th in the table with 18 points, while Buxton occupy 6th position with 23 points.
Spalding United come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Buxton have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Spalding United to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.90. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 60%.




Spalding United have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Spalding United concede an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Spalding United are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated home matches.
Buxton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Buxton's last 6 matches.
Buxton concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.