The model estimates 2.42 goals for Buxton and 1.11 for Southport. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Buxton and 6 for Southport, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Buxton · 58%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Buxton is going head to head with Southport on December 19, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England National League North — Round 22.
Buxton take on Southport in the England National League North on 19 December 2026 at 15:00.
Buxton are currently placed 6th in the table with 23 points, while Southport occupy 23rd position with 10 points.
Buxton come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Southport have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 10 recorded meetings, Southport have 4 wins against Buxton, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Buxton to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.53. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 62%.




Buxton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Buxton's last 6 matches.
Buxton concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Southport have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Southport's last 6 matches.
Southport have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.