The model estimates 1.62 goals for Southport and 1.38 for Merthyr Town. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Southport and 6 for Merthyr Town, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Southport · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Southport is going head to head with Merthyr Town on December 05, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England National League North — Round 20.
Southport take on Merthyr Town in the England National League North on 5 December 2026 at 15:00.
Southport are currently placed 23rd in the table with 10 points, while Merthyr Town occupy 20th position with 15 points.
Southport come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Merthyr Town have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Southport have 1 win against Merthyr Town.
Prediction: Southport to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.00. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 61%.
SOUMERSOUMERSOUMERSOUMERSOUMERSOUMERSOUMERSOUMERSOUMERSouthport have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Southport's last 6 matches.
Southport have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.
Merthyr Town have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Merthyr Town have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Merthyr Town's last 6 matches.
