The model estimates 2.46 goals for Ovarense and 0.79 for Estrela Calheta. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ovarense and 6 for Estrela Calheta, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ovarense · 64%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ovarense is going head to head with Estrela Calheta on February 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 17.
Ovarense take on Estrela Calheta in the Campeonato de Portugal on 7 February 2027 at 00:00.
Ovarense are currently placed 1st in the table with 16 points, while Estrela Calheta occupy 45th position with 5 points.
Ovarense come into this match with 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Estrela Calheta have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Ovarense have 1 win against Estrela Calheta.
Prediction: Ovarense to win with probability 64%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.26. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 51%.
OVAESTOVAESTOVAESTOVAESTOVAESTOVAESTOVAESTOVAESTOVAESTOvarense are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ovarense have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Ovarense have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
Estrela Calheta have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Estrela Calheta's last 6 matches.
Estrela Calheta concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
