The model estimates 2.75 goals for Simba and 0.55 for Mbeya City. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Simba and 6 for Mbeya City, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Simba is going head to head with Mbeya City on October 24, 2026 at 13:00. Played at Isamuhyo Stadium Dar es Salaam. This match is part of Ligi Kuu Bara — Round 9.
Simba take on Mbeya City in the Ligi Kuu Bara at Isamuhyo Stadium Dar es Salaam on 24 October 2026 at 13:00.
Simba are currently placed 1st in the table with 24 points, while Mbeya City occupy 9th position with 10 points.
Simba come into this match with 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mbeya City have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Simba to win with probability 73%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.29. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 40%.




Simba are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Simba have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Simba have won 6 of their last 6 matches.
Mbeya City have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.