The model estimates 1.93 goals for Namungo and 0.90 for Mbeya City. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Namungo and 6 for Mbeya City, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Namungo · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Namungo is going head to head with Mbeya City on November 20, 2026 at 18:30. This match is part of Ligi Kuu Bara — Round 12.
Namungo take on Mbeya City in the Ligi Kuu Bara on 20 November 2026 at 18:30.
Namungo are currently placed 9th in the table with 12 points, while Mbeya City occupy 11th position with 10 points.
Namungo come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mbeya City have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Namungo to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.83. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 52%.




Namungo have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Namungo have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Namungo concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Mbeya City have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Mbeya City have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Mbeya City have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.