The model estimates 0.94 goals for Sagan Tosu and 1.39 for Vegalta Sendai. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sagan Tosu and 6 for Vegalta Sendai, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Vegalta Sendai · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sagan Tosu is going head to head with Vegalta Sendai on November 21, 2026 at 08:00. This match is part of J2 League — Round 18.
Sagan Tosu take on Vegalta Sendai in the J2 League on 21 November 2026 at 08:00.
Sagan Tosu are currently placed 13th in the table with 20 points, while Vegalta Sendai occupy 4th position with 30 points.
Sagan Tosu come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Vegalta Sendai have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 58 recorded meetings, Vegalta Sendai have 27 wins against Sagan Tosu, with 9 draws.
Prediction: Vegalta Sendai to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.33. Over 2.5: 41%. BTTS: 47%.




In their last 6 home matches, Sagan Tosu have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Sagan Tosu have won 4 of their last 6 home matches.
Sagan Tosu have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 home matches.
Vegalta Sendai have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Vegalta Sendai's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Vegalta Sendai's last 6 matches.