The model estimates 1.44 goals for Sheffield Utd and 1.77 for Middlesbrough. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sheffield Utd and 6 for Middlesbrough, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Middlesbrough · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sheffield Utd is going head to head with Middlesbrough on December 26, 2026 at 15:30. This match is part of Championship — Round 23.
Sheffield Utd take on Middlesbrough in the Championship on 26 December 2026 at 15:30.
Sheffield Utd are currently placed 12th in the table with 16 points, while Middlesbrough occupy 1st position with 25 points.
Sheffield Utd come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Middlesbrough have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 89 recorded meetings, Sheffield Utd have 37 wins against Middlesbrough, with 18 draws.
Prediction: Middlesbrough to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.21. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 65%.




Sheffield Utd have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Sheffield Utd have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Middlesbrough are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Middlesbrough have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Middlesbrough's last 6 matches.