The model estimates 2.63 goals for Middlesbrough and 1.14 for Bolton Wanderers. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Middlesbrough and 6 for Bolton Wanderers, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Middlesbrough · 61%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Middlesbrough is going head to head with Bolton Wanderers on December 29, 2026 at 22:45. This match is part of Championship — Round 24.
Middlesbrough take on Bolton Wanderers in the Championship on 29 December 2026 at 22:45.
Middlesbrough are currently placed 1st in the table with 25 points, while Bolton Wanderers occupy 18th position with 14 points.
Middlesbrough come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Bolton Wanderers have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 103 recorded meetings, Bolton Wanderers have 41 wins against Middlesbrough, with 23 draws.
Prediction: Middlesbrough to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.77. Over 2.5: 73%. BTTS: 64%.




Middlesbrough are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Middlesbrough have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Middlesbrough's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bolton Wanderers have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Bolton Wanderers's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Bolton Wanderers's last 6 matches.