The model estimates 2.20 goals for Sevilla and 0.96 for Malaga. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sevilla and 6 for Malaga, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sevilla · 61%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sevilla is going head to head with Malaga on December 06, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 15.
Sevilla take on Malaga in the LaLiga on 6 December 2026 at 19:00.
Sevilla are currently placed 6th in the table with 17 points, while Malaga occupy 20th position with 5 points.
Sevilla come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Malaga have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Sevilla to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.16. Over 2.5: 61%. BTTS: 56%.




In their last 6 matches, Sevilla have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Sevilla have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Sevilla score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Malaga have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Malaga's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Malaga's last 6 matches.