The model estimates 1.45 goals for Serpa and 0.98 for Lagoa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Serpa and 6 for Lagoa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Serpa · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Serpa is going head to head with Lagoa on February 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 17.
Serpa take on Lagoa in the Campeonato de Portugal on 7 February 2027 at 00:00.
Serpa are currently placed 21st in the table with 8 points, while Lagoa occupy 34th position with 6 points.
Serpa come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lagoa have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 5 recorded meetings, Serpa have 2 wins against Lagoa, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Serpa to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.43. Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 49%.




In their last 6 matches, Serpa have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Serpa have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Serpa's last 6 matches.
Lagoa have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Lagoa's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lagoa have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.