The model estimates 1.23 goals for Serpa and 1.05 for Amora. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Serpa and 6 for Amora, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Serpa · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Serpa is going head to head with Amora on December 20, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 12.
Serpa take on Amora in the Campeonato de Portugal on 20 December 2026 at 18:00.
Serpa are currently placed 21st in the table with 8 points, while Amora occupy 30th position with 7 points.
Serpa come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Amora have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Amora have 2 wins against Serpa.
Prediction: Serpa to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.28. Over 2.5: 40%. BTTS: 48%.




In their last 6 matches, Serpa have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Serpa have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Serpa's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Amora have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Amora have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Amora's last 6 matches.